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Economy & Business

In 1985, Puerto Rico's economy was the size of Ireland's and Singapore's. An industry leader says the island missed its inflection point.

INDUNIV's executive director calls for a four-pillar social pact. Four decades of World Bank data show how far his chosen 1985 peers pulled away - and the measured cost of Section 936.

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Ivan Lugo-Montes, executive director of the biosciences consortium INDUNIV, says the economic inflection points of Puerto Rico, Ireland and Singapore all began in 1985 - and that Puerto Rico is the one still waiting for its turn.[1][2] In a November 7 essay, he calls for a new social pact for the island, built on four pillars: world-class education, universal access to quality healthcare, sustainable economic development, and transparent, accountable governance.[3][4] His historical framing is specific. Ireland, in his account, began its national social partnership model in 1987, combining wage moderation, fiscal stabilization and investment attraction.[5] Singapore, in his account, answered a 1986 recession with structural reforms and a renewed focus on export competitiveness and higher-value industries.[6] Puerto Rico's turning point came in 1996, when the U.S. Congress enacted the phase-out of the Section 936 federal tax incentives - a ten-year transition that ended on December 31, 2005 - whose elimination he argues contributed to the island's prolonged economic decline.[7][8][9] The starting point he picks is verifiable, and the divergence since is stark. In 1985, the three economies stood within roughly $2 billion of one another: Ireland at $21.27 billion, Singapore at $19.16 billion, Puerto Rico at $20.29 billion.[10][11][12] By 2005, the year Puerto Rico's 936 transition ended, Ireland had reached $211.88 billion and Singapore $127.81 billion, against Puerto Rico's $83.91 billion.[13][14][15] By 2024, Ireland stood at $609.16 billion and Singapore at $572.88 billion - 28.6 and 29.9 times their 1985 levels - while Puerto Rico reached $126.03 billion, 6.2 times its own.[16][17][18][19][20][21] The mechanism Lugo points to has been measured. A National Bureau of Economic Research working paper by Zadia Feliciano and Andrew Green found that the elimination of Section 936 decreased average manufacturing wages in Puerto Rico by 16.7% and cut the number of manufacturing establishments by 18.7% to 28%.[22][23] Lugo speaks from the sector his proposal would lean on: INDUNIV represents the island's biosciences industry, which accounts for approximately one-third of Puerto Rico's gross domestic product.[24]
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What this stands on
  1. Puerto Rico, Ireland, Singapore economic inflection points started in 1985. · ivan-lugo-linkedin-post-2026-11-07
  2. Ivan Lugo-Montes is Executive Director of INDUNIV. · ivan-lugo-linkedin-post-2026-11-07
  3. The post proposes a new social pact for Puerto Rico. · ivan-lugo-linkedin-post-2026-11-07
  4. Proposed pact pillars are education, healthcare, economic development, governance. · ivan-lugo-linkedin-post-2026-11-07
  5. Ireland started national social partnership model in 1987. · ivan-lugo-linkedin-post-2026-11-07
  6. Singapore enacted economic structural reforms in 1986. · ivan-lugo-linkedin-post-2026-11-07
  7. US Congress phased out Section 936 tax incentives in 1996. · ivan-lugo-linkedin-post-2026-11-07
  8. Section 936 phaseout transition ended December 31, 2005. · ivan-lugo-linkedin-post-2026-11-07
  9. Ending Section 936 contributed to Puerto Rico's economic decline. · ivan-lugo-linkedin-post-2026-11-07
  10. In 1985, Ireland GDP was $21.27 billion. · world-bank-gdp-irl-sgp-pri
  11. In 1985, Singapore GDP was $19.16 billion. · world-bank-gdp-irl-sgp-pri
  12. In 1985, Puerto Rico GDP was $20.29 billion. · world-bank-gdp-irl-sgp-pri
  13. In 2005, Ireland GDP was $211.88 billion. · world-bank-gdp-irl-sgp-pri
  14. In 2005, Singapore GDP was $127.81 billion. · world-bank-gdp-irl-sgp-pri
  15. In 2005, Puerto Rico GDP was $83.91 billion. · world-bank-gdp-irl-sgp-pri
  16. In 2024, Ireland GDP was $609.16 billion. · world-bank-gdp-irl-sgp-pri
  17. In 2024, Singapore GDP was $572.88 billion. · world-bank-gdp-irl-sgp-pri
  18. In 2024, Puerto Rico GDP was $126.03 billion. · world-bank-gdp-irl-sgp-pri
  19. 2024 Ireland GDP was 28.6 times its 1985 level. · world-bank-gdp-irl-sgp-pri
  20. 2024 Singapore GDP was 29.9 times its 1985 level. · world-bank-gdp-irl-sgp-pri
  21. 2024 Puerto Rico GDP was 6.2 times its 1985 level. · world-bank-gdp-irl-sgp-pri
  22. Section 936 elimination decreased average manufacturing wages by 16.7%. · nber-w23681-936-repeal
  23. Section 936 elimination decreased manufacturing establishments by 18.7% to 28.0%. · nber-w23681-936-repeal
  24. Puerto Rico's biosciences sector makes up approximately one third of its gross domestic product. · nimb-induniv-40th-2025-10-17
We could not place any of them by their address. None is an official body: that part stands on reporting, not on the underlying document or transcript.